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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with all the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his skills will probably not be improving. Mitrione gets the superior technique, durability and power standing which should see him with a sensible advantage. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire the fight down but it will be difficult given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Expect a tentative beginning from both men before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he has had only 1 victory since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks on his state the fight seems to be lined overly broad. Ngannou obviously has enormous stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he’s open to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both men have avenues to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avoid the early storm and seem to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 fight going in. On the other hand, the winner of this fight is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou in 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his conduct to the top was impressive. In this matchup he will function as superior technical fighter with the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a tendency to mirror his opponent but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but all other avenues to success are in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick to a gameplan and keep it in range. We enjoy the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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